How it finished
Ajax Amsterdam beat Fortuna Sittard 5–1. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 6. Fortuna Sittard had 8 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 27 (11), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 4.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Ajax Amsterdam beat Fortuna Sittard 5–1. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 6. Fortuna Sittard had 8 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 27 (11), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 4.1.
What was the final score in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fortuna Sittard 26%, the draw 24% and Ajax Amsterdam 50%.
What were the stats in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–4.1, Shots 8–27, Shots on target 4–11, Shots inside box 4–24, Big chances 1–8, Corners 3–11, Saves 6–3, Fouls 5–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–5.
Did both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Yes — both Fortuna Sittard and Ajax Amsterdam scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ajax Amsterdam or draw 74%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Ajax Amsterdam to win 50%, it finished Landed.