What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Bawler's model rates this match: Ajax Amsterdam are favoured (50% win probability vs 26% for Fortuna Sittard, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Fortuna Sittard 1-1 Ajax Amsterdam (10.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.16.
How does Bawler predict Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Fortuna Sittard 26%, the draw 24% and Ajax Amsterdam 50%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
BTTS: Yes (61% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.30 and away expected goals 1.86.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.16. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).