Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 20 Sept · 11:15 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 20 Sept · 11:15 UK
Feyenoord Rotterdam 57Draw 23FC Utrecht 20
The call
80%
Feyenoord Rotterdam or draw
3.1
Goals expected
14d 01hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Feyenoord Rotterdam to score86%
Over 1.5 goals82%
FC Utrecht to score67%
Under 3.5 goals62%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Feyenoord Rotterdam
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Ayase Ueda
FW · 4.2 shots expected
98%
83%
53%
Sem Steijn
MF · 3.1 shots expected
96%
70%
33%
Anis Hadj Moussa
MF · 3.0 shots expected
95%
68%
31%
Leo Sauer
FW · 2.7 shots expected
93%
69%
32%
Quinten Timber
MF · 1.9 shots expected
85%
45%
12%
Jordan Bos
DF · 1.8 shots expected
83%
44%
11%
FC Utrecht
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Adrian Blake
FW · 2.4 shots expected
91%
60%
23%
Miguel Rodríguez
FW · 2.3 shots expected
90%
56%
20%
Yoann Cathline
MF · 2.0 shots expected
87%
43%
11%
David Min
FW · 2.0 shots expected
87%
51%
16%
Sébastien Haller
FW · 1.9 shots expected
85%
55%
19%
Gjivai Zechiël
MF · 1.5 shots expected
79%
44%
12%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D D W D D D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FEY 4 · D 0 · UTR 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026FC Utrecht 0–1 Feyenoord
Oct 2025Feyenoord 3–2 FC Utrecht
Jan 2025Feyenoord 1–2 FC Utrecht
Oct 2024FC Utrecht 0–2 Feyenoord
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

Bawler's model rates this match: Feyenoord Rotterdam are favoured (57% win probability vs 20% for FC Utrecht, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Feyenoord Rotterdam 1-1 FC Utrecht (10.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.11.

How does Bawler predict Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Feyenoord Rotterdam 57%, the draw 23% and FC Utrecht 20%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

BTTS: Yes (58% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.99 and away expected goals 1.12.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.11. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Feyenoord Rotterdam form →FC Utrecht form →