FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Telstar 3–4 Feyenoord RotterdamMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 17 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Feyenoord Rotterdam to win at 60%. Bawler had Telstar at 19%, the draw at 21% and Feyenoord Rotterdam at 60%. The match finished 3–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
Telstar win
19%
Draw
21%
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
60%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 2.2
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 4
Total 7 (+3.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 3.8
From the match itself
The match produced 3.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
Pre-match: 60%
Landed
Outside shot
Not both teams to score
Pre-match: 38%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.