FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam 3–2 ComoMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Como or draw at 64%. Bawler had Feyenoord Rotterdam at 36%, the draw at 25% and Como at 39%. The match finished 3–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
36%
Result
Draw
25%
Como win
39%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.