FC Groningen beat Excelsior 5–1. Excelsior had 16 shots (2 on target) to FC Groningen's 14 (9), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 2.8.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
FC Groningen beat Excelsior 5–1. Excelsior had 16 shots (2 on target) to FC Groningen's 14 (9), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 2.8.
Excelsior 1–5 FC Groningen, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Excelsior 40%, the draw 25% and FC Groningen 35%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–2.8, Shots 16–14, Shots on target 2–9, Shots inside box 11–13, Big chances 1–6, Corners 3–6, Saves 5–1, Fouls 10–12, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Excelsior and FC Groningen scored, finishing 1–5. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.