FT · Netherlands: KNVB Beker · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
MVV Maastricht 0–3 ExcelsiorMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
MVV Maastricht win
29%
Draw
27%
Excelsior win
44%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.5
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.