Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction — Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK

Premier League · Sun 11 Oct · 14:00 UK
46Crystal Palace win26Draw28Nottingham Forest win
Full time
3–1

How it finished

Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3–1. Crystal Palace had 13 shots (7 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 24 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 2.4 to 3.0, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.

Crystal…Full-time statsNottingham…
43%Possession57%
2.4Expected goals (xG)3.0
13Shots24
7Shots on target6
11Shots inside box17
4Big chances8
5Corners8
4Saves4
11Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Crystal Palace win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.2
2.8 in total
Both teams score
57%
Leans yes
3+ goals
54%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceNottingham ForestNottingham Forest
1.6Goals1.2
10.7Shots16.1
2.8On target4.8
1.9Corners4.3
Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceNottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0.8Goals0.5
4.9Shots7.6
1.3On target2.1
0.9Corners2.0
Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceNottingham ForestNottingham Forest
0.8Goals0.7
5.8Shots8.5
1.5On target2.6
1.0Corners2.3

What we said the chances were

Crystal Palace to score80%
2 or more goals78%
Goal before half-time73%
Nottingham Forest to score71%
3 goals or fewer68%

First half — what we expected

Crystal Palace
54%
to score before half-time
Nottingham Forest
41%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceNottingham ForestNottingham Forest
25%7+ shots58%
11%9+ shots36%
68%1+ shots on target85%
16%3+ shots on target36%
53%1+ corners82%
<10%3+ corners32%

League position

Nottingham Forest in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Nottingham Forest 1–1 Crystal Palace
Aug 2025Crystal Palace 1–1 Nottingham Forest
May 2025Crystal Palace 1–1 Nottingham Forest
Oct 2024Nottingham Forest 1–0 Crystal Palace
Mar 2024Nottingham Forest 1–1 Crystal Palace
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Crystal Palace form →Nottingham Forest form →

Common questions

Who won Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3–1. Crystal Palace had 13 shots (7 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 24 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. On expected goals it was 2.4 to 3.0, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Crystal Palace 46%, the draw 26% and Nottingham Forest 28%.

What were the stats in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–3.0, Shots 13–24, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 11–17, Big chances 4–8, Corners 5–8, Saves 4–4, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

Yes — both Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.