England: Premier LeagueSaturday 29 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Coventry City vHull City

Most likely scoreline
2–0
11% of the time · 3.10 goals expected
Coventry City 64%Draw 23%Hull City 12%
How we get there
Coventry CitystepHull City
2.21Base xG · rolling 26-match0.89
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.21Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.89

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Coventry average 5.9 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Hull average 4.6 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
4
2
1
1
10
9
4
1
2
11
10
4
1
3
8
7
3
1
4
4
4
2
1
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

Team news — absences and latest club updates· as of 16 Aug 2026

Coventry CityHome
No absences reported for Coventry City in the latest round of club news.
Latest updates
  • 13 Aug · Signing
    Coventry re-sign Gustavo Hamer from Sheffield United for around £6m
    Coventry officially confirmed Hamer's return on 11 August on a long-term contract, fee reported at roughly £6m (c.€7m) after two earlier bids were rejected.
  • 13 Aug · Manager
    Lampard backs Haji Wright as his No.9 for the Premier League amid West Ham links
    In an interview published 12 August, Frank Lampard said of Wright: "I felt quite quickly that he's a No. 9 and he prefers to be in that position too... with his speed, size and ability to…
Hull CityAway
Unavailable / doubtful
  • Charlie Hughes — Double hernia surgery at the end of the 2025/26 season, having played through the pain barrier (Hull Daily Mail, 27 Jul).
    Expected return: unconfirmed — A genuine GW1 doubt — and the most significant one at the club, since FFScout named him one of…
  • Eliot Matazo — Cruciate ligament tear. Date of injury also conflicts: Transfermarkt says 25 April 2026, the research trail says mid-January 2026.
    Expected return: reports differ — Transfermarkt says 30 November 2026; FotMob says ~mid-January 2027; hullcitynews.co.uk…
  • Hidemasa Morita — Calf injury, already roughly three weeks old on arrival
    Expected return: Jakirović, 27 July: 'another 10 days away from the pitch' → approximately 6 August.
  • Mohamed Belloumi — Hamstring tightness felt in the warm-up at half-time v Rizespor; withdrew from a planned 30 minutes v Konyaspor
    Expected return: Assistant Dean Holden, 28 July: 'Mo's trained today, he literally just felt a bit of stiffness, a bit of…
  • Lewie Coyle — Captain and first-choice right-back. Two overlapping reports: assistant Dean Holden on 28 July described a pre-existing ankle niggle ('something he's been feeling for a…
    Expected return: UNVERIFIED — severity unknown as of 30 July. Right-back is also an active recruitment area. Monitor closely.
+5 more absences reported
Latest updates
  • 14 Aug · Departure
    Abu Kamara sold to Portsmouth in permanent deal
    Winger Abu Kamara, 23, left Hull City permanently for Portsmouth on 10 August for a reported £2.5m (€2.9m), signing a three-year contract at Fratton Park.
  • 14 Aug · Signing
    Australia teenager Lucas Herrington joins from Colorado Rapids
    Hull announced the signing of 18-year-old right-sided centre-back Lucas Herrington from Colorado Rapids on a five-year contract running to 2031, for a fee reported at roughly €14.8m — a…

Club news is gathered once a day from club statements and reporting, last on 16 Aug 2026. It is not a confirmed team sheet — squads are named about an hour before kick-off, after this page was built, so late fitness news may not appear above.

Predicted lineups — expected XI, not a confirmed team sheet

Coventry CityHome4-2-3-1
Goalkeeper
GKOliver Dovin
Defence
RBMilan van EwijkCBBobby ThomasCBAurele AmendaLBJay Dasilva
Midfield
CMFrank OnyekaCMMatt Grimes (captain)AMJack Rudoni
Attack
RWLoum TchaounaLWTatsuhiro Sakamoto or Ephron Mason-ClarkSTHaji Wright
Selection doubts
  • LOW CONFIDENCE XI - no beat reporter has published a predicted lineup, and both friendlies so far were rotation-heavy (Coventry fielded two different outfield sides vs AFC Wimbledon)
  • Left wing: Tatsuhiro Sakamoto vs Ephron Mason-Clark, with the £20m Tchaouna's arrival squeezing the wide areas
Hull CityAway4-2-3-1 · shape not settled
Goalkeeper
GKJack Butland (or Konstantinos Tzolakis if the deal is announced)
Defence
RBLewie Coyle (c) — injury doubtCBSemi AjayiCBJohn Egan (Charlie Hughes returns here if fit)LBRyan Giles
Midfield
CMRegan SlaterCMMatt Crooks (Hidemasa Morita likely in once fit)AMKieran Dowell
Attack
RWAbu KamaraLWLiam MillarSTOli McBurnie
Selection doubts
  • BASIS: this is the Çaykur Rizespor XI of 28 July (4-2-3-1), clearly the strongest side named so far — Butland; Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, Giles; Slater, Crooks; Kamara, Dowell, Millar; McBurnie.
  • THIS XI IS LOW CONFIDENCE.

Our projected starting elevens from squad news as of 30 July 2026 — not team sheets. Clubs confirm their starting elevens around an hour before kick-off, after this page was built.

More predictions for these teams

Coventry City fixtures & form →Hull City fixtures & form →

Coventry vs Hull — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 April 2026, Coventry have won 0, Hull have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 April 2026Hull 0–0 CoventryENGLAND: Championship

The model's verdict for this fixture: Coventry 64% · draw 23% · Hull 12%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Coventry predictions & form →Hull predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.