Coventry City vs Hull City prediction — Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Coventry City 66Draw 20Hull City 15
The call
66%
Coventry City to win
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Hull City beat Coventry City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Coventry City at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 15%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Coventry City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hull City's 6 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.7, so Coventry City created the better chances and still lost the game.

Coventry CityFull-time statsHull City
69%Possession31%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.7
11Shots6
3Shots on target2
7Shots inside box2
1Big chances1
6Corners2
1Saves3
11Fouls8
3Offsides0
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCoventry City 66%Hull City (15% called)
Total goals3.41
Both teams to score58%No
Model callHome Win 66%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Coventry City to score90%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Hull City to score64%

First half — what we expected

Coventry CityBefore half-timeHull City
62%Chance to score41%
10.0Expected shots3.8
3.0Expected shots on target1.4
3.8Expected corners1.6
65%Chance of 9+ shots3%
42%Chance of 11+ shots0%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target41%
35%Chance of 4+ shots on target5%
71%Chance of 3+ corners23%
34%Chance of 5+ corners4%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COV 1 · D 3 · HUL 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Apr 2026Hull City 0–0 Coventry City
Aug 2025Coventry City 0–0 Hull City
Apr 2025Hull City 1–1 Coventry City
Dec 2024Coventry City 2–1 Hull City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Coventry City vs Hull City?

Hull City beat Coventry City 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Coventry City at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 15%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Coventry City had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hull City's 6 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.7, so Coventry City created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Coventry City vs Hull City?

Coventry City 0–1 Hull City, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Coventry City 66%, the draw 20% and Hull City 15%.

What were the stats in Coventry City vs Hull City?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.7, Shots 11–6, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 7–2, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Coventry City vs Hull City?

No. It finished 0–1, so Coventry City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Coventry City vs Hull City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Coventry City 66%, it finished Hull City (15% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 66%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Coventry City form →Hull City form →