Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK
Çorum FK 48Draw 27Alanyaspor 26
The call
74%
Çorum FK or draw
2.6
Goals expected
14d 03hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Çorum FK to score79%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Alanyaspor to score66%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Alanyaspor
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Steve Mounié
FW · 2.6 shots expected
93%
56%
20%
Güven Yalcin
FW · 2.0 shots expected
87%
59%
23%
Ibrahim Kaya
MF · 1.9 shots expected
85%
48%
14%
Uchenna Ogundu
FW · 1.8 shots expected
84%
50%
15%
Ianis Hagi
MF · 1.7 shots expected
81%
38%
8%
Meschack Elia
FW · 1.6 shots expected
79%
56%
20%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COR 0 · D 0 · ALA 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Dec 2025Çorum FK 0–5 Alanyaspor
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Common questions

Who will win Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

Bawler's model rates this match: Çorum FK are favoured (48% win probability vs 26% for Alanyaspor, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Çorum FK 1-1 Alanyaspor (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.63.

How does Bawler predict Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Çorum FK 48%, the draw 27% and Alanyaspor 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.55 and away expected goals 1.07.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.63. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Çorum FK form →Alanyaspor form →