Charlton Athletic vs Derby County prediction — Championship · Sat 15 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 15 Aug · 15:00 UK
Charlton Athletic 43Draw 33Derby County 24
The call
77%
Charlton Athletic or draw
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Charlton Athletic beat Derby County 2–1. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Charlton Athletic had 13 shots (4 on target) to Derby County's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.0.

Charlton…Full-time statsDerby County
45%Possession55%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.0
13Shots15
4Shots on target4
9Shots inside box11
1Big chances1
5Corners4
3Saves2
7Fouls16
0Offsides1
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCharlton Athletic 43%Charlton Athletic (43% called)
Total goals2.43
Both teams to score48%Yes
Model call1X 77%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals78%
Charlton Athletic to score75%
Over 1.5 goals69%
Derby County to score63%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?

Charlton Athletic beat Derby County 2–1. Bawler's model had Charlton Athletic in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Charlton Athletic had 13 shots (4 on target) to Derby County's 15 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?

Charlton Athletic 2–1 Derby County, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlton Athletic 43%, the draw 33% and Derby County 24%.

What were the stats in Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.0, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–4, Saves 3–2, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Derby County?

Yes — both Charlton Athletic and Derby County scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Derby County right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Charlton Athletic 43%, it finished Charlton Athletic (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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