CF Montréal vs New England Revolution prediction — MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 00:30 UK
CF Montréal 45Draw 30New England Revolution 25
The call
75%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

CF Montréal and New England Revolution drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (8 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 4.0.

CF MontréalFull-time statsNew England…
46%Possession54%
0.9Expected goals (xG)4.0
15Shots21
8Shots on target5
9Shots inside box10
1Big chances4
6Corners3
3Saves6
9Fouls4
0Offsides4
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCF Montréal 45%Draw (30% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score56%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 75%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
CF Montréal to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
New England Revolution to score70%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won CF Montréal vs New England Revolution?

CF Montréal and New England Revolution drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (8 on target) to New England Revolution's 21 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 4.0.

What was the final score in CF Montréal vs New England Revolution?

CF Montréal 2–2 New England Revolution, played on 02 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 45%, the draw 30% and New England Revolution 25%.

What were the stats in CF Montréal vs New England Revolution?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–4.0, Shots 15–21, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 1–4, Corners 6–3, Saves 3–6, Fouls 9–4, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs New England Revolution?

Yes — both CF Montréal and New England Revolution scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs New England Revolution right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said CF Montréal 45%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 75%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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