Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club prediction — LaLiga · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK
Celta Vigo 46Draw 27Athletic Club 27
The call
73%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Athletic Club 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCelta Vigo 46%Athletic Club (27% called)
Total goals2.62
Both teams to score52%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 73%Landed
Second call1X 73%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Celta Vigo to score78%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Athletic Club to score67%

First half — what we expected

Celta VigoBefore half-timeAthletic Club
47%Chance to score30%
4.3Expected shots5.2
1.9Expected shots on target1.5
1.5Expected corners1.8
60%Chance of 4+ shots73%
27%Chance of 6+ shots41%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
31%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
74%Chance of 1+ corners81%
19%Chance of 3+ corners27%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 63%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CEL 2 · D 1 · ATH 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo
Dec 2025Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Club
Jan 2025Celta Vigo 1–2 Athletic Club
Sept 2024Athletic Club 3–1 Celta Vigo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Athletic Club 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2.

What was the final score in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 46%, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 27%.

Did both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

No. It finished 0–2, so Celta Vigo failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Celta Vigo 46%, it finished Athletic Club (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Celta Vigo form →Athletic Club form →