Spain: La LigaSunday 30 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Celta Vigo vAthletic Club

Most likely scoreline
1–1
12% of the time · 2.65 goals expected
Celta Vigo 46%Draw 31%Athletic Club 23%
How we get there
Celta VigostepAthletic Club
1.57Base xG · rolling 26-match1.07
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.57Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.07

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Celta Vigo average 4.3 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Athletic Bilbao average 4.6 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
7
8
4
1
1
11
12
6
2
1
2
9
9
5
2
3
5
5
3
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Celta Vigo fixtures & form →Athletic Club fixtures & form →

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 17 May 2026, Celta Vigo have won 0, Athletic Bilbao have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
17 May 2026Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Celta VigoSpain: La Liga

The model's verdict for this fixture: Celta Vigo 46% · draw 31% · Athletic Bilbao 23%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Celta Vigo predictions & form →Athletic Bilbao predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.