Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 22 Aug · 17:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 22 Aug · 17:00 UK
Caykur Rizespor 38Draw 27Samsunspor 35
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Samsunspor beat Caykur Rizespor 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Samsunspor 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Caykur Rizespor had 29 shots (8 on target) to Samsunspor's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.3, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.

Caykur…Full-time statsSamsunspor
60%Possession40%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.3
29Shots6
8Shots on target3
13Shots inside box3
0Big chances1
10Corners1
1Saves8
13Fouls11
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCaykur Rizespor 38%Samsunspor (35% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score56%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals77%
Caykur Rizespor to score76%
Samsunspor to score74%
Under 3.5 goals69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Samsunspor beat Caykur Rizespor 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Caykur Rizespor at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Samsunspor 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Caykur Rizespor had 29 shots (8 on target) to Samsunspor's 6 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.3, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Caykur Rizespor 0–2 Samsunspor, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 38%, the draw 27% and Samsunspor 35%.

What were the stats in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.3, Shots 29–6, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 0–1, Corners 10–1, Saves 1–8, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

No. It finished 0–2, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Caykur Rizespor vs Samsunspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Caykur Rizespor 38%, it finished Samsunspor (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Caykur Rizespor form →Samsunspor form →