Before kickoff our call was Estrela or draw at 74%. Bawler had Estrela at 48%, the draw at 26% and Casa Pia at 26%. The match finished 0–2.
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.