FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Santa Clara 1–2 Gil VicenteMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Santa Clara or Draw✗
Santa Clara Over 8.5 Shots✓
Gonçalo Paciência 2+ ShotsDidn't start, so this leg was droppedDropped
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats on the legs left in play. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Santa Clara win
39%
Draw
31%
Gil Vicente win
30%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.0
Total 2.2
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.