Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Draw or Saudi Arabia wins at 74% combined probability gives X2 the edge when Cape Verde's 1.13 xG barely outpaces a narrow 0.17-goal deficit.
Cape Verde average 3.3 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches). Saudi Arabia average 1.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Cape Verde 29% · draw 34% · Saudi Arabia 37%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.