Bawler / World: World Cup / Saudi Arabia
Team profile · World: World Cup

Saudi Arabia Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.11
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.42
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
86%
6/7 calls

Saudi Arabia prediction: Bawler's model rates Saudi Arabia at 1.11 expected goals scored and 1.42 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 86% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 1W 3D 1L. No Saudi Arabia fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Saudi Arabia sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.11 expected goals a game and conceding 1.42. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.71 goals a game against 1.11 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Saudi Arabia have been correct 86% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 3D 3L
Real goals
0.7 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Saudi Arabia compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.11
Below average
Goals against
1.42
Leakier than most
Scored1.11
Conceded1.42

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.11 xG per match · -0.21 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Saudi Arabia fixtures (3/3).

📊 Saudi Arabia in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
🏠 1.0✈️ 0.0
1.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
✈️ 1.5
5.0
Shots · per game
faced 18.5
✈️ 5.0
2.0
On target · per game
faced 5.0
✈️ 2.0
🗓️ Last 3 games
27 Jun
0-0
@ Cape Verde
🚩 2-4
21 Jun
0-4
@ Spain
🚩 1-6
15 Jun
1-1
vs Uruguay
🚩 -

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Saudi Arabia matches
86%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Saudi Arabia fixture, it is right 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Saudi Arabia by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Saudi Arabia fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Saudi Arabia matches.

Recent matches (last 7)

Saudi Arabia prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly