Cagliari vs Internazionale prediction — Serie A · Sun 30 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sun 30 Aug · 19:45 UK
Cagliari 18Draw 24Internazionale 59
The call
82%
Internazionale or draw
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Internazionale beat Cagliari 1–0. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cagliari had 10 shots (0 on target) to Internazionale's 31 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.9.

CagliariFull-time statsInternazionale
35%Possession65%
0.5Expected goals (xG)3.9
10Shots31
0Shots on target7
5Shots inside box25
0Big chances6
8Corners6
5Saves0
6Fouls5
4Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultInternazionale 59%Internazionale (59% called)
Total goals2.81
Both teams to score51%No
Model callX2 82%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Internazionale to score85%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Cagliari to score61%

First half — what we expected

CagliariBefore half-timeInternazionale
32%Chance to score57%
3.5Expected shots7.4
1.1Expected shots on target2.6
1.5Expected corners2.4
16%Chance of 6+ shots72%
4%Chance of 8+ shots46%
31%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
3%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
75%Chance of 1+ corners89%
20%Chance of 3+ corners41%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 71%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CAG 0 · D 1 · INT 4
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026Inter 3–0 Cagliari
Sept 2025Cagliari 0–2 Inter
Apr 2025Inter 3–1 Cagliari
Dec 2024Cagliari 0–3 Inter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cagliari vs Internazionale?

Internazionale beat Cagliari 1–0. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cagliari had 10 shots (0 on target) to Internazionale's 31 (7), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.9.

What was the final score in Cagliari vs Internazionale?

Cagliari 0–1 Internazionale, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cagliari 18%, the draw 24% and Internazionale 59%.

What were the stats in Cagliari vs Internazionale?

Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–3.9, Shots 10–31, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 5–25, Big chances 0–6, Corners 8–6, Saves 5–0, Fouls 6–5, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Cagliari vs Internazionale?

No. It finished 0–1, so Cagliari failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cagliari vs Internazionale right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Internazionale 59%, it finished Internazionale (59% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Model call — we said X2 82%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Cagliari form →Internazionale form →