Italy: Serie ASunday 30 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Cagliari vInternazionale

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.39 goals expected
Cagliari 30%Draw 34%Internazionale 36%
How we get there
CagliaristepInternazionale
1.13Base xG · rolling 26-match1.26
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.13Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.26

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Cagliari average 4.1 corners per game at home this season (20 competitive matches). Inter Milan average 5.1 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
12
7
3
1
1
10
13
8
3
1
2
6
7
5
2
1
3
2
3
2
1
4
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Cagliari vs Inter Milan — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 17 April 2026, Cagliari have won 0, Inter Milan have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
17 April 2026Inter Milan 30 CagliariITALY: Serie A

The model's verdict for this fixture: Cagliari 30% · draw 34% · Inter Milan 36%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.