Sheffield United beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 19 shots (5 on target) to Sheffield United's 7 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.5, so Blackburn Rovers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Sheffield United beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Blackburn Rovers had 19 shots (5 on target) to Sheffield United's 7 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 0.5, so Blackburn Rovers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Sheffield United, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 35%, the draw 27% and Sheffield United 37%.
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.5, Shots 19–7, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 12–3, Big chances 2–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–14, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Sheffield United scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sheffield United or draw 65%, it finished Sheffield United won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.