How it finished
Blackburn Rovers beat Millwall 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Millwall at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 34%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Blackburn Rovers had 18 shots (4 on target) to Millwall's 15 (2), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Millwall created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 60%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?
Blackburn Rovers beat Millwall 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Millwall at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Blackburn Rovers 34%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Blackburn Rovers had 18 shots (4 on target) to Millwall's 15 (2), with 45% of the ball against 55%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.4, so Millwall created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?
Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Millwall, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Blackburn Rovers 34%, the draw 28% and Millwall 38%.
What were the stats in Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.4, Shots 18–15, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–1, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 5–3.
Did both teams score in Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall?
Yes — both Blackburn Rovers and Millwall scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Millwall or draw 66%, it finished Blackburn Rovers won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed.