How it finished
Bayer Leverkusen beat 1. FC Union Berlin 4–0. Bawler's model had Bayer Leverkusen in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Bayer Leverkusen had 20 shots (10 on target) to 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen beat 1. FC Union Berlin 4–0. Bawler's model had Bayer Leverkusen in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Bayer Leverkusen had 20 shots (10 on target) to 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 1. FC Union Berlin, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bayer Leverkusen 61%, the draw 22% and 1. FC Union Berlin 18%.
What were the stats in Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–0.4, Shots 20–5, Shots on target 10–0, Shots inside box 15–2, Big chances 4–0, Corners 11–1, Saves 0–6, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
No. It finished 4–0, so 1. FC Union Berlin failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayer Leverkusen to win 61%, it finished Bayer Leverkusen won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.