FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Friday, 11 September 2026
1. FC Union Berlin 1–3 Schalke 04Match recap · Friday, 11 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
1. FC Union Berlin win
55%
Draw
24%
Schalke 04 win
22%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.2
Total 3.1
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 2.5
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.