Atalanta vs Sassuolo prediction — Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 19:45 UK
Atalanta 55Draw 24Sassuolo 21
The call
79%
Atalanta or draw
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Atalanta had 14 shots (7 on target) to Sassuolo's 22 (8), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 2.7, so Sassuolo created the better chances and still lost the game.

AtalantaFull-time statsSassuolo
56%Possession44%
0.7Expected goals (xG)2.7
14Shots22
7Shots on target8
8Shots inside box12
1Big chances4
4Corners4
7Saves5
9Fouls10
0Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAtalanta 55%Atalanta (55% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score55%Yes
Model call1X 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Atalanta to score84%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Sassuolo to score65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ATA 3 · D 0 · SAS 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Mar 2026Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta
Nov 2025Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo
Feb 2024Atalanta 3–0 Sassuolo
Jan 2024Atalanta 3–1 Sassuolo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atalanta vs Sassuolo?

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Atalanta had 14 shots (7 on target) to Sassuolo's 22 (8), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 2.7, so Sassuolo created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?

Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atalanta 55%, the draw 24% and Sassuolo 21%.

What were the stats in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.7, Shots 14–22, Shots on target 7–8, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 7–5, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 0–1.

Did both teams score in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?

Yes — both Atalanta and Sassuolo scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atalanta vs Sassuolo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atalanta 55%, it finished Atalanta (55% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Atalanta form →Sassuolo form →