How it finished
Arsenal beat Aston Villa 1–0. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Aston Villa had 7 shots (0 on target) to Arsenal's 7 (2), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 64%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Arsenal beat Aston Villa 1–0. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Aston Villa had 7 shots (0 on target) to Arsenal's 7 (2), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aston Villa 26%, the draw 28% and Arsenal 47%.
What were the stats in Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–1.1, Shots 7–7, Shots on target 0–2, Shots inside box 3–5, Big chances 0–2, Corners 2–4, Saves 1–0, Fouls 17–6, Offsides 0–8, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
No. It finished 0–1, so Aston Villa failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Aston Villa vs Arsenal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Arsenal 47%, it finished Arsenal (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said X2 75%, it finished Landed.