FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Sunday, 11 October 2026

Al Shabab 3–0 Al TaawounMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026

Al Shabab
3–0
Al Shabab win
Al Taawoun

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Shabab or draw at 65%. Bawler had Al Shabab at 40%, the draw at 25% and Al Taawoun at 35%. The match finished 3–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Shabab win
40%
Result
Draw
25%
Al Taawoun win
35%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.5
Total 3.2
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 2.5
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 83%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

More from Bawler