FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Friday, 09 October 2026

Al Kholood 0–5 Al QadsiahMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 09 October 2026

Al Kholood
0–5
Al Qadsiah win
Al Qadsiah

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Qadsiah to win at 60%. Bawler had Al Kholood at 18%, the draw at 22% and Al Qadsiah at 60%. The match finished 0–5.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Kholood win
18%
Draw
22%
Al Qadsiah win
60%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.1 – 2.1
Total 3.2
Actual
0 – 5
Total 5 (+1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 5.2
From the match itself

The match produced 1.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Qadsiah to win
Pre-match: 60%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 40%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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