Pre-match, Bawler had Al Shabab at 49%, draw at 25%, Al Fayha at 26%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-0. The model's headline call was Al Shabab to win.
Match underperformed xG by 2.9 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.