Al Hazem vs Al Taawoun prediction — Saudi Pro League · Tue 8 Sept · 16:55 UK

Saudi Pro League · Tue 8 Sept · 16:55 UK
Al Hazem 35Draw 26Al Taawoun 39
The call
65%
Al Taawoun or draw
3.0
Goals expected
13d 16hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals80%
Al Taawoun to score79%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W W W L L
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AHA 1 · D 1 · ATA 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Al Hazem 2–0 Al-Taawoun
Jan 2026Al-Taawoun 2–2 Al Hazem
Mar 2024Al-Taawoun 4–0 Al Hazem
Sept 2023Al Hazem 1–3 Al-Taawoun
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Common questions

Who will win Al Hazem vs Al Taawoun?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Taawoun are favoured (39% win probability vs 35% for Al Hazem, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Hazem vs Al Taawoun?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Hazem 1-1 Al Taawoun (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.98.

How does Bawler predict Al Hazem vs Al Taawoun?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Hazem 35%, the draw 26% and Al Taawoun 39%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Hazem vs Al Taawoun?

BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.44 and away expected goals 1.54.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Hazem vs Al Taawoun?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.98. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Hazem form →Al Taawoun form →