Al Hazem vs Al Fateh prediction — Saudi Pro League · Thu 15 Oct · 16:15 UK

Saudi Pro League · Thu 15 Oct · 16:15 UK
39Al Hazem win26Draw35Al Fateh win
Full time
2–3

How it finished

Al Fateh beat Al Hazem 3–2. Al Hazem had 12 shots (5 on target) to Al Fateh's 15 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 2.3 to 2.3, so Al Hazem created the better chances and still lost the game.

Al HazemFull-time statsAl Fateh
50%Possession50%
2.3Expected goals (xG)2.3
12Shots15
5Shots on target6
8Shots inside box12
4Big chances4
3Corners10
3Saves3
19Fouls9
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Al Hazem win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (12%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.5
3.0 in total
Both teams score
61%
Yes
3+ goals
58%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Al HazemAl HazemAl FatehAl Fateh
1.6Goals1.5
18.9Shots17.5
4.0On target6.3
4.5Corners5.4
Al HazemAl HazemAl FatehAl Fateh
0.5Goals0.8
8.6Shots7.8
1.8On target3.1
2.1Corners2.5
Al HazemAl HazemAl FatehAl Fateh
1.1Goals0.6
10.3Shots9.7
2.2On target3.2
2.4Corners2.9

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals80%
Al Hazem to score79%
Al Fateh to score77%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer64%

First half — what we expected

Al Hazem
39%
to score before half-time
Al Fateh
57%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Al HazemAl HazemAl FatehAl Fateh
58%8+ shots49%
37%10+ shots29%
50%2+ shots on target77%
13%4+ shots on target37%
58%2+ corners67%
19%4+ corners26%

League position

Al Fateh in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Al Fateh FC 1–1 Al Hazem
Sept 2025Al Hazem 0–0 Al Fateh FC
May 2024Al Fateh FC 2–1 Al Hazem
Dec 2023Al Hazem 2–0 Al Fateh FC
Feb 2022Al Hazem 0–1 Al Fateh FC
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Hazem form →Al Fateh form →

Common questions

Who won Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Al Fateh beat Al Hazem 3–2. Al Hazem had 12 shots (5 on target) to Al Fateh's 15 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 2.3 to 2.3, so Al Hazem created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Al Hazem 2–3 Al Fateh, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hazem 39%, the draw 26% and Al Fateh 35%.

What were the stats in Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–2.3, Shots 12–15, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 4–4, Corners 3–10, Saves 3–3, Fouls 19–9, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Al Hazem vs Al Fateh?

Yes — both Al Hazem and Al Fateh scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.