Al Fateh beat Al Hazem 3–2. Al Hazem had 12 shots (5 on target) to Al Fateh's 15 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 2.3 to 2.3, so Al Hazem created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Al Fateh beat Al Hazem 3–2. Al Hazem had 12 shots (5 on target) to Al Fateh's 15 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 2.3 to 2.3, so Al Hazem created the better chances and still lost the game.
Al Hazem 2–3 Al Fateh, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Hazem 39%, the draw 26% and Al Fateh 35%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–2.3, Shots 12–15, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 4–4, Corners 3–10, Saves 3–3, Fouls 19–9, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Al Hazem and Al Fateh scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.