FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Al Taawoun 0–0 Al FayhaMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Taawoun or draw at 76%. Bawler had Al Taawoun at 50%, the draw at 26% and Al Fayha at 24%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Taawoun win
50%
Draw
26%
Result
Al Fayha win
24%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.0
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.7 against our forecast)

The match produced 2.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Taawoun or draw
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 28%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Al Taawoun's 0.56 expected-goals edge makes Al Taawoun or draw (draw or home win) the high-confidence call at 76%, with the hosts commanding the attacking metrics in this Saudi Pro League encounter."

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