FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 10 October 2026

Al Hazem 1–1 Neom SCMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Neom SC or draw at 72%. Bawler had Al Hazem at 28%, the draw at 27% and Neom SC at 45%. The match finished 1–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Hazem win
28%
Draw
27%
Result
Neom SC win
45%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.2 – 1.6
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.6
From the match itself

The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Medium confidence
Neom SC or draw
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 30%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

More from Bawler