Pre-match, Bawler had Al Taawoun at 49%, draw at 24%, Al Fateh at 27%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-0. The model's headline call was Al Taawoun to win.
Match underperformed xG by 3.1 goals. Below-expectation scoring — could be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping, or low-quality chances the model over-rated.