FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Al Fateh 0–0 Al IttihadMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Fateh or draw at 62%. Bawler had Al Fateh at 38%, the draw at 25% and Al Ittihad at 38%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Fateh win
38%
Draw
25%
Result
Al Ittihad win
38%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.6
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−3.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 2.1
From the match itself

The match produced 3.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 84% confidence as both sides generate identical expected goals of 1.63 in a fixture balanced enough to produce goals from either team."

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