FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Friday, 09 October 2026

Al Fateh 0–4 Al AhliMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 09 October 2026

Al Fateh
0–4
Al Ahli win
Al Ahli

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Al Ahli to win at 63%. Bawler had Al Fateh at 16%, the draw at 21% and Al Ahli at 63%. The match finished 0–4.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Fateh win
16%
Draw
21%
Al Ahli win
63%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.1 – 2.2
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 2.2
From the match itself

The match produced 0.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Al Ahli to win
Pre-match: 63%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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