FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Saturday, 24 October 2026

Al Kholood 0–3 Al EttifaqMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 24 October 2026

Al Kholood
0–3
Al Ettifaq win
Al Ettifaq

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was Al Kholood or draw at 68%. Bawler had Al Kholood at 44%, the draw at 24% and Al Ettifaq at 32%. The match finished 0–3.

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Kholood win
44%
Draw
24%
Al Ettifaq win
32%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.8 – 1.5
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 1.3
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 84%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 24%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

What we said pre-match

"Over 1.5 Goals projects at 84% because both sides combine for 3.27 expected goals, with Al Kholood's 1.78 xG edge giving the home side a 44% win forecast in an evenly matched fixture."

More from Bawler