FT · Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League · Thursday, 29 October 2026

Al Nassr 5–3 Al KholoodMatch recap · Thursday, 29 October 2026

Al Nassr
5–3
Al Nassr win
Al Kholood

Pre-match probability vs result

Al Nassr win
75%
Result
Draw
16%
Al Kholood win
9%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.6 – 0.8
Total 3.4
Actual
5 – 3
Total 8 (+4.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.7 – 2.1
From the match itself

The match produced 4.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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