How it finished
PSV Eindhoven beat Ajax Amsterdam 3–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Ajax Amsterdam had 19 shots (6 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 13 (5), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven beat Ajax Amsterdam 3–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Ajax Amsterdam had 19 shots (6 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 13 (5), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 2.6.
What was the final score in Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ajax Amsterdam 1–3 PSV Eindhoven, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ajax Amsterdam 33%, the draw 24% and PSV Eindhoven 43%.
What were the stats in Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–2.6, Shots 19–13, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 12–11, Big chances 4–3, Corners 1–1, Saves 2–5, Fouls 6–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven?
Yes — both Ajax Amsterdam and PSV Eindhoven scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PSV Eindhoven or draw 67%, it finished PSV Eindhoven won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.