Croatia at World Cup 2026

Knocked out at Round of 32 — how their tournament played out

FIFA rank

Official ranking

Knocked out

Round of 32

How far they got

Bawler's full forecast for Croatia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group L alongside England, Ghana, and Panama. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

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Tournament path

Croatia's path to the trophy

Probability Croatia reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group

60.9%

Round of 16

0.00%

Quarter-finals

0.00%

Semi-finals

0.00%

Final

0.00%

Win it all

0.00%

Group L

Group L forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

Team	FIFA	Top 2	R16	QF	SF	Winner
England	#4	96.9%	93.9%	80.8%	62.5%	22.4%
Croatia	#9	60.9%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Ghana	#65	21.3%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Panama	#40	20.8%	30.6%	20.1%	9.15%	0.48%

Fixtures

Croatia's World Cup fixtures

4 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.

17 Jun, 21:00FT
England v Croatia4–2
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals73%

24 Jun, 00:00FT
Panama v Croatia0–1
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals72%

27 Jun, 22:00FT
Croatia v Ghana2–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals81%

03 Jul, 00:00FT
Portugal v Croatia2–1
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals73%