World Cup 2026 · Group L

Panama at World Cup 2026

Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments

FIFA rank
#40
Official ranking
Win the group
20.8%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
30.6%
Round of 16
Win the cup
0.48%
Lift the trophy

Bawler's full forecast for Panama at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group L alongside England, Croatia, and Ghana. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

Tournament path

Panama's path to the trophy

Probability Panama reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group
20.8%
Round of 16
30.6%
Quarter-finals
20.1%
Semi-finals
9.15%
Final
2.52%
Win it all
0.48%

Group L

Group L forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

TeamFIFATop 2R16QFSFWinner
England#496.9%93.9%80.8%62.5%22.4%
Croatia#960.9%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Ghana#6521.3%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Panama#4020.8%30.6%20.1%9.15%0.48%