World Cup 2026 · Group J

Argentina at World Cup 2026

Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments

FIFA rank

Official ranking

Win the group

93.7%

Top two finish

Reach the last 16

94.1%

Round of 16

Win the cup

29.7%

Lift the trophy

Bawler's full forecast for Argentina at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group J alongside Algeria, Austria, and Jordan. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

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Tournament path

Argentina's path to the trophy

Probability Argentina reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group

93.7%

Round of 16

94.1%

Quarter-finals

83.3%

Semi-finals

67.5%

Final

47.9%

Win it all

29.7%

Group J

Group J forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

Team	FIFA	Top 2	R16	QF	SF	Winner
Argentina	#1	93.7%	94.1%	83.3%	67.5%	29.7%
Algeria	#36	56.5%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Austria	#22	40.3%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Jordan	#70	9.46%	17.6%	11.7%	5.49%	0.34%

Fixtures

Argentina's World Cup fixtures

8 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.

17 Jun, 02:00FT
Argentina v Algeria3–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals71%

22 Jun, 18:00FT
Argentina v Austria2–0
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals76%

28 Jun, 03:00FT
Jordan v Argentina1–3
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals74%

03 Jul, 23:00FT
Argentina v Cape Verde1–1
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals80%

07 Jul, 17:00FT
Argentina v Egypt3–2
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals64%

12 Jul, 02:00FT
Argentina v Switzerland1–1
High confidence: 1X80%

15 Jul, 20:00FT
England v Argentina1–2
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals69%

19 Jul, 20:00FT
Spain v Argentina0–0
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals71%