Austria at World Cup 2026

Knocked out at Round of 32 — how their tournament played out

FIFA rank

#22

Official ranking

Knocked out

Round of 32

How far they got

Bawler's full forecast for Austria at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group J alongside Argentina, Algeria, and Jordan. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

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Tournament path

Austria's path to the trophy

Probability Austria reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group

40.3%

Round of 16

0.00%

Quarter-finals

0.00%

Semi-finals

0.00%

Final

0.00%

Win it all

0.00%

Group J

Group J forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

Team	FIFA	Top 2	R16	QF	SF	Winner
Argentina	#1	93.7%	94.1%	83.3%	67.5%	29.7%
Algeria	#36	56.5%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Austria	#22	40.3%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Jordan	#70	9.46%	17.6%	11.7%	5.49%	0.34%

Fixtures

Austria's World Cup fixtures

4 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.

17 Jun, 05:00FT
Austria v Jordan3–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals72%

22 Jun, 18:00FT
Argentina v Austria2–0
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals76%

28 Jun, 03:00FT
Algeria v Austria3–3
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals73%

02 Jul, 20:00FT
Spain v Austria3–0
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals74%