BAWLER
World Cup 2026 · Group J

Jordan at World Cup 2026

Bawler's forecast across 10,000 simulated tournaments

FIFA rank
#70
Official ranking
Win the group
9.46%
Top two finish
Reach the last 16
17.6%
Round of 16
Win the cup
0.34%
Lift the trophy

Bawler's full forecast for Jordan at the 2026 FIFA World Cup — placed in Group J alongside Argentina, Algeria, and Austria. Derived from 10,000 simulations of the entire tournament, updated each morning before kickoff.

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Tournament path

Jordan's path to the trophy

Probability Jordan reaches each stage of the tournament, across 10,000 simulated tournaments.

Escape group
9.46%
Round of 16
17.6%
Quarter-finals
11.7%
Semi-finals
5.49%
Final
1.58%
Win it all
0.34%

Group J

Group J forecast

Top two from this group advance directly. The eight best third-placed teams across all 12 groups also progress to the Round of 32.

TeamFIFATop 2R16QFSFWinner
Argentina#193.7%94.1%83.3%67.5%29.7%
Algeria#3656.5%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Austria#2240.3%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Jordan#709.46%17.6%11.7%5.49%0.34%

Fixtures

Jordan's World Cup fixtures

3 matches — Bawler published a prediction for each.

17 Jun, 05:00FT
Austria v Jordan3–1
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals72%
23 Jun, 04:00FT
Jordan v Algeria1–2
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals70%
28 Jun, 03:00FT
Jordan v Argentina1–3
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals74%