Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelWerder Bremen on top, and Niclas Füllkrug getting plenty of shots away.
Werder Bremen v Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
Our model gives Werder Bremen 50%, the draw 25% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 25%, so Werder Bremen start as favourites. If you want one score, our predicted score is Werder Bremen 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, the most likely Werder Bremen win (10%). We expect 3.0 goals in total: 1.8 for Werder Bremen and 1.2 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Both teams scoring is 58% and three or more goals is 57%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Werder Bremen have won one, Borussia Mönchengladbach two, and two were drawn. When they last met, it finished Werder Bremen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach, in Jan 2026. On shots, our forecast is 17.7 for Werder Bremen and 12.0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, with 6.6 and 3.8 on target, and corners at 5.3 to 3.5. So we expect Werder Bremen to do more of the shooting.
In their last six games Werder Bremen have two wins, two draws and two defeats, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have one win, one draw and four defeats. Both lost their most recent match. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Werder Bremen or Draw, Werder Bremen Over 13.5 Shots and Niclas Füllkrug 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 50% on our numbers, so the fair price is Evens, or 2.01.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Werder Bremen · last 6
Borussia Mönchengladbach · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Werder Bremen or draw is 75% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Bundesliga table →Common questions
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Bawler's model rates this match: Werder Bremen are favoured (50% win probability vs 25% for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Bawler's predicted score is Werder Bremen 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach: the most likely score if Werder Bremen win, which is the likeliest result (50%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.5%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Werder Bremen 50%, the draw 25% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 58% chance. That is based on Werder Bremen expecting 1.78 goals and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.20.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 57%.
When are the Werder Bremen v Borussia Mönchengladbach line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Werder Bremen v Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Werder Bremen or Draw (75%), Werder Bremen Over 13.5 Shots (78%), Niclas Füllkrug 2+ Shots (78%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 50% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.01). 18+, please gamble responsibly.