Bawler / NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie / PSV

Team profile · NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie

PSV Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

5 settled

Goals for

1.98

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.55

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

100%

5/5 calls

PSV prediction: for PSV's next match — Excelsior vs PSV on Saturday 15 Aug, 18:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Excelsior are favoured (37%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

PSV carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.98 expected goals per game against a Eredivisie average of 1.67. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.80 a game against 1.98 expected. Next up is a trip to Excelsior, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 33%.

Next match

Away vs Excelsior · Saturday 15 Aug, 18:00 UTC

Win

33%

PSV

Draw

30%

Loss

37%

Excelsior

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

2W 2D 1L

Real goals

2.8 – 1.8

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How PSV compare with the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for

1.98

Above average

Goals against

1.55

Tighter than most

Scored1.98

Conceded1.55

The grey line on each bar is the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says

Strong in attack

Averaging 1.98 xG per match · +0.31 above the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie average of 1.67.

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on PSV fixtures (4/4).

📊 PSV in numbers

44 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

2.7

Goals · per game

let in 1.5

🏠 3.0✈️ 2.3

6.8

Corners · per game

give up 4.6

🏠 7.4✈️ 6.1

16.3

Shots · per game

faced 12.7

🏠 18.0✈️ 14.4

6.6

On target · per game

faced 4.6

🏠 6.9✈️ 6.2

🗓️ Last 6 games

08 Aug

2-2

vs Sittard

🚩 9-0

02 Aug

0-4

vs AZ Alkmaar

🚩 6-3

17 May

5-1

vs Twente

🚩 12-9

10 May

4-1

@ Go Ahead Eagles

🚩 4-8

02 May

2-2

@ Ajax

🚩 4-6

23 Apr

6-1

vs Zwolle

🚩 4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on PSV matches

100%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a PSV fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.