Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 15 Aug · 19:00 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 15 Aug · 19:00 UK
Excelsior 37Draw 30PSV Eindhoven 33
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

PSV Eindhoven beat Excelsior 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Excelsior at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave PSV Eindhoven 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Excelsior had 5 shots (2 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 20 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 2.2.

ExcelsiorFull-time statsPSV Eindhoven
41%Possession59%
0.3Expected goals (xG)2.2
5Shots20
2Shots on target8
3Shots inside box16
1Big chances4
1Corners7
6Saves1
9Fouls3
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultExcelsior 37%PSV Eindhoven (33% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score60%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
Excelsior to score78%
PSV Eindhoven to score77%
Under 3.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven beat Excelsior 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Excelsior at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave PSV Eindhoven 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Excelsior had 5 shots (2 on target) to PSV Eindhoven's 20 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 2.2.

What was the final score in Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Excelsior 37%, the draw 30% and PSV Eindhoven 33%.

What were the stats in Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–2.2, Shots 5–20, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 3–16, Big chances 1–4, Corners 1–7, Saves 6–1, Fouls 9–3, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?

Yes — both Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Excelsior 37%, it finished PSV Eindhoven (33% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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