Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Norwich
Team profile · ENGLAND: Championship

Norwich Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
6 settled
Goals for
1.35
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.30
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Norwich prediction: for Norwich's next match — Norwich vs West Brom on Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Norwich win looks most likely (43%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Norwich sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.35 expected goals a game and conceding 1.30. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.17 a game against 1.35 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is West Bromwich Albion, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 43%.

Next match

Home vs West Brom · Saturday 15 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
43%
Norwich
Draw
32%
Loss
25%
West Brom
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 78%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 1D 1L
Real goals
2.2 – 1.2
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Norwich compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.35
Above average
Goals against
1.30
Leakier than most
Scored1.35
Conceded1.30

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.29 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Norwich fixtures (3/4).

📊 Norwich in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
🏠 1.4✈️ 1.6
5.4
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 5.8✈️ 5.0
13.3
Shots · per game
faced 11.8
🏠 15.0✈️ 11.5
4.6
On target · per game
faced 4.0
🏠 4.8✈️ 4.4
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
4-1
vs MK Dons
🚩 7-3
08 Aug
4-1
vs Milton Keynes Dons
🚩 7-3
02 May
1-2
@ Hull
🚩 7-1
25 Apr
1-1
vs Swansea
🚩 5-2
21 Apr
2-1
vs Derby
🚩 3-4
18 Apr
4-2
@ Bristol City
🚩 10-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Norwich matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Norwich fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Norwich by market
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Norwich fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Norwich matches.

Recent matches (last 6)

Norwich prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly