FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Norwich City 41 Milton Keynes DonsMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Norwich City
41
Norwich City win
Milton Keynes Dons
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it

Pre-match, Bawler had Norwich City at 40%, draw at 28%, Milton Keynes Dons at 32%. The match ended 4-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Norwich City.

> Pre-match probability vs result
City win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
28%
Dons win
32%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Norwich City or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

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