Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership / Hearts
Team profile · SCOTLAND: Premiership

Hearts Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
6 settled
Goals for
1.40
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.28
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
83%
5/6 calls

Hearts prediction: for Hearts's next match — Hearts vs Benfica on Thursday 13 Aug, 18:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Hearts win looks most likely (41%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Hearts sit close to the Premiership average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.40 expected goals a game and conceding 1.28. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.40 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is Benfica, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 41%.

Next match

Home vs Benfica · Thursday 13 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Win
41%
Hearts
Draw
33%
Loss
26%
Benfica
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 73%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
4W 1D 1L
Real goals
2.0 – 1.7
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Hearts compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership average, per match.

Goals for
1.40
Above average
Goals against
1.28
Tighter than most
Scored1.40
Conceded1.28

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership average (1.34 scored, 1.40 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Hearts fixtures (4/4).
Squad availability · Hearts vs Benfica
Fetching squad availability…

How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.

📊 Hearts in numbers

41 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
🏠 2.0✈️ 1.5
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.4
🏠 5.5✈️ 5.6
14.2
Shots · per game
faced 10.3
🏠 14.6✈️ 13.9
5.0
On target · per game
faced 3.0
🏠 5.4✈️ 4.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
4-0
vs Dundee United
🚩 7-2
06 Aug
1-6
@ Benfica
🚩 2-6
01 Aug
1-2
@ Aberdeen
🚩 6-4
16 May
1-3
@ Celtic
🚩 6-9
13 May
3-0
vs Falkirk
🚩 5-5
09 May
1-1
@ Motherwell
🚩 6-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Hearts matches
83%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 6

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Hearts fixture, it is right 5 out of 6 (83%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Hearts prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly