How it finished
Heart of Midlothian and Benfica drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Heart of Midlothian at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 33%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Heart of Midlothian had 5 shots (3 on target) to Benfica's 20 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Heart of Midlothian vs Benfica?
Heart of Midlothian and Benfica drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Heart of Midlothian at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 33%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Heart of Midlothian had 5 shots (3 on target) to Benfica's 20 (5), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Heart of Midlothian vs Benfica?
Heart of Midlothian 1–1 Benfica, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 41%, the draw 33% and Benfica 26%.
What were the stats in Heart of Midlothian vs Benfica?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.1, Shots 5–20, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 3–14, Big chances 0–0, Corners 0–11, Saves 4–2, Fouls 5–13, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs Benfica?
Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and Benfica scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs Benfica right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Heart of Midlothian 41%, it finished Draw (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 73%, it finished Landed.