Bawler / Netherlands: Eredivisie / Utrecht

Team profile · Netherlands: Eredivisie

Utrecht Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches

5 settled

Goals for

1.52

Expected, per match

Goals against

1.57

Expected, per match

High-confidence accuracy

100%

5/5 calls

Utrecht prediction: for Utrecht's next match — Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar on Saturday 15 Aug, 16:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Utrecht win looks most likely (48%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Utrecht sit close to the Eredivisie average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.52 expected goals a game and conceding 1.57. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is AZ Alkmaar, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 48%.

Next match

Home vs AZ Alkmaar · Saturday 15 Aug, 16:45 UTC

Win

48%

Utrecht

Draw

29%

Loss

23%

AZ Alkmaar

High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 85%

Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record

3W 1D 1L

Real goals

1.8 – 1.2

For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Utrecht compare with the Netherlands: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for

1.52

Below average

Goals against

1.57

Tighter than most

Scored1.52

Conceded1.57

The grey line on each bar is the Netherlands: Eredivisie average (1.60 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says

Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)

High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Utrecht fixtures (5/5).

📊 Utrecht in numbers

45 competitive matches · friendlies excluded

1.4

Goals · per game

let in 1.4

🏠 1.6✈️ 1.3

4.9

Corners · per game

give up 4.6

🏠 5.0✈️ 4.8

14.3

Shots · per game

faced 13.1

🏠 16.4✈️ 12.2

5.2

On target · per game

faced 5.0

🏠 5.5✈️ 4.8

🗓️ Last 6 games

09 Aug

1-2

@ Groningen

🚩 1-5

24 May

1-1

@ Ajax

🚩 -

21 May

3-2

vs Heerenveen

🚩 9-6

17 May

2-0

vs Sittard

🚩 2-5

10 May

2-1

@ Ajax

🚩 7-4

02 May

2-0

vs NAC Breda

🚩 8-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Utrecht matches

100%

of high-confidence calls correct, over 5

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Utrecht fixture, it is right 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.